Thursday, May 9, 2024

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Ascendancy: Reshaping Global Politics and Economics

Introduction

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is broadly defined as the intelligence shown by machines, especially computer systems. As a discipline, it is that branch of computer science that creates and researches techniques and software to enable machines to observe their surroundings and utilize learning and intelligence. In so doing, these machines choose actions that optimize their chances of attaining set objectives. 

Artificial intelligence technology is extensively employed in business, government, and research. High-profile applications include advanced web search engines (e.g., Google Search); recommendation systems (e.g., YouTube, Amazon, and Netflix); human speech interaction (e.g., Google Assistant, Siri, and Alexa); autonomous vehicles (e.g., Waymo); generative and creative tools (e.g., ChatGPT and Dall.e); and superhuman play and analysis in strategy games (e.g., chess and Go).

The growing use of artificial intelligence in the twenty-first century is influencing a societal and economic shift toward increased automation, data-driven decision-making, and the integration of AI systems into various economic sectors and areas of life. This has profound implications for job markets, healthcare, government, industry, and education. However, all of this raises concerns about the long-term impacts, ethical implications, and hazards of AI. In response, there have been calls for government regulations to ensure the technology is used for the safety and benefit of people.

AI's Implications for the Global Economy

Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming the way people work and live. However, it also brings with it certain challenges such as unemployment and social instability. On one hand, AI could drive the global economy up by $13 trillion by 2030, but on the other hand, it could also lead to the elimination of 375 million jobs.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is predicted to have a large influence on the world economy, with some estimating that it could contribute more than $15 trillion by 2030. This may boost global GDP by around 1.2% each year, with the highest increases in China and North America. 

The workplace is one area where AI can potentially bring about a revolution. It can simplify procedures, save costs, and enhance decision-making. AI can also use predictive analytics to increase customer satisfaction. Furthermore, it can decrease industrial and construction accidents while generating new job opportunities in data science, machine learning, and AI education. 

In this connection, there is a debate over whether the rise of AI technology will result in automatons taking over the office or computers creating new job options, inventive work, and improved judgment.


AI may have a variety of both positive and negative ramifications for the global economy, including:

1. Increased productivity: AI might enhance productivity by up to 40% in some sectors.

2. Increased innovation: Artificial intelligence may lead to increased innovation in goods and services.

3. Increased customer demand: AI might provide increased product diversity, customization, and affordability, thus stimulating consumer demand.

4. Increased automation: AI might replace labor with automation, causing a shock to labor markets.

5. Increased inequality: AI may exacerbate inequality across areas. 

6. Lessen salaries: AI might lessen labor demand, resulting in lower pay and fewer hiring.

7. Job losses: AI may destroy certain jobs, causing unemployment, and lessen consumer demand.

The Role of AI in Shaping International Relations

International relations have always been a complicated, stressful environment that necessitated rapid and precise choices. In this field, artificial intelligence may play a variety of functions, including data analysis, scenario prediction, and decision support.

In foreign policy, artificial intelligence could be utilized in resolving diplomatic conflicts and promoting country-to-country ties. Today, as the quantity of data arising from international relations grows, countries face a restriction in the human mind's ability to interpret enormous amounts of information. 

In this light, decision-makers in foreign policy institutions may delegate to AI assistant the tedious and time-consuming tasks of diplomatic engagements and negotiations and go straight to the stage of judgment and decision-making. 

In these times of international crises and emergencies, leaders must make quick judgments and responses. AI can provide rapid analysis and advice in these complex situations.

This element of making the best use of time in a world that is changing at a rapid rate and that demands quick responses and judgments has grown in importance, perhaps leading to drastic changes in international calculations.


However, one of the major concerns of this phenomenon in international relations is a new kind of disparity known as the "global digital gap," in which certain nations benefit from the advantages of artificial intelligence while others fall behind. 

For example, estimates for 2030 indicate that the US and China would likely benefit the most from AI, while emerging nations with lower AI adoption rates would achieve modest economic development. In this light, artificial intelligence may alter the balance of power between countries. There are fears of a new competition, particularly between the United States and China, for supremacy in artificial intelligence.

Undoubtedly, artificial intelligence will significantly impact international relations, such as bringing new issues to the forefront, challenging geostrategic relationships, serving as a tool for diplomats and negotiators, and generating new opportunities and concerns about human rights issues. 

The Genie is Out of the Bottle

Based on the possibilities mentioned, it seems that those countries that are ahead of the curve in AI utilization will face more challenges, risks, and unintended consequences in the near future. 

But the genie is out of the bottle. Artificial intelligence is here to stay, and its development cannot be halted. As a result, it should be handled well in order to limit or control any potential detrimental consequences.

References

Artificial intelligence. (2024, May 4). In Wikipedia. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence]

Cummings, M. L., Roff, H. M., Cukier, K., Parakilas, S., & Bryce, H. (2018). *Artificial Intelligence and International Affairs: Disruption Ahead?* Chatham House: The Royal Institute of International Affairs. Retrieved from https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/publications/research/2018-06-14-artificial-intelligence-international-affairs-cummings-roff-cukier-parakilas-bryce.pdf

Govindharaj, Y. (2024). Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on the Economy, Politics, Ecosystem, Innovation, and Promoting Inclusive Workforce Frameworks -A Theoretical Analysis. *13*, 66-82.

Salami, M. (2023). Artificial intelligence and the future of international relations. Retrieved from https://www.ipis.ir/en/subjectview/722508/artificial-intelligence-and-the-future-of-international-relations


No comments:

Post a Comment