Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Red Wave Rising: How Trump Clinched Victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Elections

Introduction

In an astonishing turnaround, Donald Trump made a historic comeback in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, winning the presidency for the second time. However, this victory wasn’t merely about returning to office; it marked a rare event in American history, showing that despite his defeat in the 2020 elections Trump’s message still resonated strongly with the American people. Despite years of controversies and mixed opinions, his bold promises and “Make America Great Again" slogan still struck a chord. Americans—from small towns to big cities—lined up to vote, believing Trump would focus on the issues that mattered most to them.

Trump’s success didn’t happen by accident; it resulted from a well-planned campaign that homed in on what he saw as key issues: jobs, safety, and national pride. Many voters saw him as the leader who would stand up to the establishment and address their real concerns. Trump’s message touched on economic worries, dissatisfaction with traditional politics, and a renewed sense of national pride. These themes energized his base and attracted those looking for change.

In this analysis, we’ll discuss the ten main reasons why Donald Trump won in 2024, mindful that there are more reasons for this phenomenon.  We’ll explore his effective use of media, his strong stance on “law and order,” and other strategies that fueled his historic comeback. Each factor reveals how Trump managed to rally his base and appeal to those who were tired of the status quo, making this victory one for the history books.

1. People’s Economic Anxieties

A significant number of voters were dissatisfied with the economic direction under the previous administration, feeling that while unemployment remained low and inflation was cooling, these indicators did not reflect their daily struggles. Many Americans felt that wages were stagnating and failing to keep up with the costs of essentials like housing, healthcare, and groceries. Trump's economic rhetoric addressed these concerns directly, positioning his policies as the solution to reverse what he called an economic downturn caused by his predecessor’s policies.

Trump’s campaign promised sweeping reforms aimed at alleviating these financial burdens, such as imposing tariffs on foreign goods, reducing taxes on both individuals and businesses and implementing stricter immigration policies to prioritize American workers. His focus on economic protectionism appealed to working- and middle-class Americans who were looking for relief from what they perceived as an economic strain on their livelihoods. The promise of “America First” resonated particularly with voters seeking immediate action to lower prices and achieve economic stability.

The electorate’s confidence in Trump’s ability to restore economic balance stemmed partly from his first term’s results when lower inflation and robust job creation prevailed until the COVID-19 pandemic. Although inflation had since decreased significantly, Americans remained frustrated with high prices and what they saw as an inefficient economic recovery. Trump’s campaign rode on this dissatisfaction, promising a return to “better days” under his leadership—a message that proved compelling for many who remembered his earlier economic success.

2. Trump's Masterfully Targeted Campaign Strategy

Trump’s campaign team meticulously targeted swing or battleground states, where they tailored messages to address specific local concerns, such as economic issues, job security, and crime rates. By investing significant resources in states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, Trump’s team ensured that these crucial frontlines received focused attention. The campaign’s strategic use of grassroots organizing, data-driven advertising, and local rallies allowed them to mobilize voters in these critical areas.

The campaign’s approach in swing states did more than secure votes; it built a coalition that crossed demographic boundaries, appealing to rural, suburban, and working-class voters alike. Trump's messaging was calibrated to resonate with moderate and undecided voters, particularly those concerned about economic growth and security. This approach proved effective in winning over pivotal constituencies, many of whom had felt marginalized in recent years and were eager for a voice that aligned with their priorities.

Ultimately, this targeted strategy was instrumental in achieving the 270 electoral votes required for victory. By amplifying local issues and emphasizing Trump’s track record on economic and national security, the campaign energized diverse voter groups, leading to a decisive win in all key swing states. This success underscores how Trump’s team capitalized on regional concerns to secure broad support across different demographic and geographic lines, a move that proved crucial for clinching the election.

3. Trump's Campaign Built Early Momentum, Surging Stronger in the Final Stretch

Trump’s campaign established early momentum, focusing on economic and national security issues, which helped solidify his base and attract undecided voters. By addressing concerns like inflation and job creation from the onset, his campaign positioned Trump as a pragmatic leader capable of addressing economic frustrations. This early emphasis on key voter priorities created a foundation that they would build on in the final stretch of the race.

As the election approached, Trump’s campaign ramped up efforts through targeted advertising and grassroots initiatives. They leveraged data to pinpoint crucial voter groups, focusing on suburban areas and minority communities facing economic challenges. The tailored messaging aimed to resonate with these groups, promoting themes of economic empowerment and stability to address their unique concerns.

In the campaign’s final days, Trump’s team intensified voter mobilization efforts, encouraging early voting and absentee ballots. This strategy proved effective in swing states, where high turnout was essential for maintaining a lead. By reinforcing core issues and deploying extensive outreach, the campaign transformed early momentum into a sustained push, culminating in a powerful final surge that secured Trump’s win in all seven key battleground states.

4. Trump's Team Mobilized Better

Trump’s success relied heavily on mobilizing his base, particularly in rural communities and among white male voters. His campaign focused on connecting with these voters through a robust grassroots network that emphasized economic policies aimed at revitalizing rural areas. By addressing job creation and economic protectionism, Trump appealed to working-class voters who felt their needs had been sidelined.

Rallies were a cornerstone of this mobilization effort, drawing large crowds and fostering a sense of unity and purpose among supporters. These events became more than just campaign stops—they were moments where Trump reinforced his connection to local communities and demonstrated his commitment to their concerns. The rallies also provided a platform for Trump to communicate directly with voters, bypassing traditional media filters and delivering his message unambiguously.

In addition to large rallies, the campaign emphasized direct outreach through social media, early voting campaigns, and absentee ballot encouragement. By focusing on voter turnout, especially in rural and suburban areas where his support was strongest, Trump’s team translated enthusiasm into action. The result was a powerful turnout among key demographics, particularly those traditionally overlooked, ensuring their votes made a substantial impact on the election outcome.

5. Trump's Image as an Effective Leader

Trump’s image as a decisive and assertive leader played a pivotal role in his appeal to voters who believed the nation needed strong, immediate action on pressing issues. His track record of making bold, often controversial, decisions reinforced the perception that he could “get things done.” For many supporters, Trump’s unapologetic style suggested he could bypass bureaucratic hurdles and prioritize the nation’s well-being over political correctness.

A central part of this leadership appeal lay in Trump’s economic promises, particularly those addressing job creation, tax cuts, and the revival of American manufacturing. These policies resonated with voters facing financial difficulties and those who believed that strong economic growth was essential to national strength. By pledging to “bring back American jobs” and safeguard domestic industries, Trump positioned himself as the champion of economic resilience and middle-class prosperity.

Additionally, Trump’s willingness to challenge the status quo attracted voters who were disillusioned with conventional politics. His outsider status and unfiltered approach to campaigning gave him an edge over those who wanted a break from establishment norms. For these voters, Trump represented a shift from traditional governance toward a more dynamic, results-oriented approach—qualities they felt were necessary to tackle the country’s complex challenges.

6. Trump's Media and Social Media Savvy

Trump’s campaign masterfully utilized both traditional media and social media platforms to reach a wide audience and control the narrative. By focusing on platforms like X (formerly Twitter), Truth Social, Facebook, and podcasts, Trump bypassed traditional media outlets that he frequently accused of anti-Trump bias. This direct line of communication enabled him to address supporters unfiltered and respond quickly to emerging issues, enhancing his appeal as a transparent and accessible candidate.

The social media strategy proved particularly effective in rallying his base and countering opposing narratives. Trump’s team used these platforms not only to share campaign updates and policy announcements but also to criticize opponents and reinforce his messaging. This direct engagement fostered a sense of community among supporters and allowed Trump to build a loyal, digital-first following that could be mobilized instantly.

Traditional media also played a role, albeit indirectly, as Trump’s often controversial statements generated widespread media coverage, even by the so-called "legacy media" who hated Trump's guts. By maintaining a provocative presence on these networks, Trump ensured his messages remained at the forefront of national discourse. This combination of social media savvy and media-driven visibility kept him consistently in the public eye, maintaining a steady stream of attention and energizing his base.

7. Frustration with the Status Quo Won for Trump the Popular Vote

Many voters were disillusioned with establishment politics, seeing it as unresponsive to their needs and detached from their daily struggles. Trump’s candidacy offered a stark alternative to traditional government approaches, presenting himself as an outsider who could challenge Washington’s entrenched interests or the "deep state". This anti-establishment rhetoric resonated with voters who felt disconnected from policymakers and wanted a voice that prioritized their concerns.

This frustration was especially pronounced among rural and working-class Americans, who believed their communities had been neglected by successive administrations. Trump’s promises to revitalize local economies and protect American industries struck a chord with these voters. “America First” appealed to those who felt sidelined by globalization and were looking for a leader who would put their interests above those of elites and international stakeholders.

Trump’s direct communication style, coupled with his willingness to challenge conventional norms, further distinguished him from establishment figures. For many, his candidacy symbolized a rebellion against a political class they saw as self-serving. By positioning himself as a champion of the forgotten American, Trump’s message reverberated with a base eager for radical change—a base that rallied behind him in significant numbers. 

Trump's popular vote victory marked the first time a Republican candidate has secured the national popular vote since George W. Bush's re-election in 2004. It indicated that Trump expanded his appeal across various demographics, including Hispanic and younger voters, and made gains in traditionally Democratic areas.

8.  Trump’s Border Security and Law and Order Message Connected with Voters

Trump’s strong stance on law enforcement and border security resonated with voters concerned about crime and national stability. His campaign emphasized the need for “law and order,” addressing issues such as urban crime rates, illegal immigration, and the perceived erosion of public safety. This focus on security appealed particularly to suburban and rural voters who felt that strict measures were necessary to maintain the social fabric of their communities. 

The campaign framed these issues as central to preserving the American way of life, contrasting Trump’s approach with what he depicted as the prior administration’s leniency. His message aimed to reassure citizens who were apprehensive about public safety, especially amid national debates on policing and crime rates. Trump’s rhetoric, emphasizing swift and decisive action, bolstered his image as a defender of traditional values and protector of American communities.

This law-and-order message not only energized his core base but also appealed to moderate voters worried about crime and border control. By aligning these concerns with broader themes of national pride and stability, Trump connected with a diverse range of Americans who prioritized safety. This strategic focus helped him secure support from key demographics, reinforcing his appeal as a candidate willing to take firm stands on sensitive issues.

9. Millions of Americans Identified with Trump's "America First" Policy  

Trump’s “America First” stance in foreign policy was a much-needed reorientation that resonated with voters who felt that previous administrations had compromised national interests for global obligations. His commitment to protecting American jobs, reducing reliance on foreign economies, and avoiding costly foreign entanglements aligned with voters wary of international commitments. For many, Trump’s approach represented a reassertion of U.S. sovereignty, with a focus on prioritizing domestic concerns over global responsibilities.

This message was particularly appealing to working-class voters who believed that global trade policies had adversely affected American industries. By promising to bring back manufacturing jobs and enforce stricter trade regulations, Trump tapped into a sense of economic nationalism. Voters who felt displaced by outsourcing and automation saw Trump’s foreign policy stance as a pathway to revitalizing American labor and industry.

Moreover, Trump’s approach to international alliances reflected a shift toward more selective engagement, promising to avoid unnecessary military involvement. This focus on restraint in foreign policy resonated with those who valued a pragmatic, national-interest-driven approach to international relations. By emphasizing American self-sufficiency and selective engagement abroad, Trump’s campaign successfully attracted voters who valued strength at home over commitments abroad.

10. Trump Was Supported by Key Interest Groups and Organizations

Trump’s endorsements from conservative organizations, veterans’ groups, and business communities provided a solid foundation of support across influential sectors. These endorsements added a layer of credibility to his campaign, underscoring his alignment with values central to conservative voters. By securing backing from groups focused on specific issues like Second Amendment rights, business regulations, and veterans’ affairs, Trump solidified his appeal to a broad base of committed supporters.

Veterans’ organizations and pro-military groups, in particular, viewed Trump as a staunch advocate for the armed forces, with his past support of defense spending and commitment to veterans’ welfare. These endorsements resonated with voters who prioritized military strength and the well-being of service members. Trump’s alignment with these groups helped him connect with voters who saw him as a champion of national defense and veteran support, values they believed were neglected under the previous administration.

Additionally, endorsements from business and conservative groups reinforced Trump’s economic and social policies, lending authority to his positions on deregulation and free-market principles. This coalition of support not only legitimized Trump’s policy stances but also mobilized conservative voters across a spectrum of issues, from economic stability to personal freedoms. By cultivating and amplifying endorsements from key interest groups, Trump’s campaign bolstered its credibility and reach among conservative and independent voters.

11. Kamala Harris' Role in the 2024 Presidential Elections

Kamala Harris played a significant role in shaping the dynamics of the 2020 election. Though relatively unknown on the national stage compared to Donald Trump—a long-standing public figure and celebrity—her selection by Joe Biden marked a historic milestone. Harris became the first Black woman and the first person of Indian descent nominated for national office by a major party, bringing with her substantial experience as California's Attorney General and as a U.S. Senator. Her alignment with Biden on key policy issues, such as healthcare, economic recovery, and criminal justice reform, coupled with her reputation as a 'fearless fighter for the little guy,' made her an appealing and dynamic addition to Biden's campaign.

Despite Kamala Harris's historic candidacy and extensive experience, several factors contributed to her loss to Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. This deserves another extended discussion in a separate essay. Suffice it to say that the following factors contributed to her defeat:

a. Economic Concerns: A significant portion of voters expressed dissatisfaction with the country's direction, particularly regarding the economy. Exit polls indicated that 75% of voters believed the nation was on the wrong track, with 61% of these individuals supporting Trump. 

b. Low Voter Turnout: Democratic voter turnout was notably lower compared to previous elections. Analyses revealed that core Democratic voting blocs participated in reduced numbers, and among those who did vote, there was a shift toward supporting Trump. 

c. Trump Swept All Swing States:  Donald Trump won all seven key swing states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. These states are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. His victories in these battleground states were pivotal in securing his electoral success.

d. Demographic Shifts: Trump made gains among minority voters, particularly Black and Latino communities, and improved his standing with younger voters compared to the 2020 election. 

e. Campaign Challenges: Harris faced difficulties in mobilizing the Democratic base to the same extent as her predecessor, Joe Biden, in 2020. This included lower voter engagement in traditionally Democratic strongholds.

Sources:

Brookings Institution. (2024). Why Donald Trump won, and Kamala Harris lost: An early analysis of the results. Brookings. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/articles/why-donald-trump-won-and-kamala-harris-lost-an-early-analysis-of-the-results/

El País. (2024, November 7). Trump wins votes from working-class discontent over inflation and immigration. El País. Retrieved from https://english.elpais.com/usa/elections/2024-11-07/trump-wins-votes-from-working-class-discontent-over-inflation-and-immigration.html

Gancarski, A. (2024, August 26). Less than 30% of Michigan voters think they’re better off now than under Donald Trump. New York Post. Retrieved from https://nypost.com/2024/08/26/us-news/less-than-30-of-michigan-voters-think-theyre-better-off-now-than-under-donald-trump/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Lim, J. (2024). Marketing lessons from Donald Trump’s campaigns every brand should know. LinkedIn. Retrieved from https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/marketing-lessons-from-donald-trumps-campaigns-every-brand-jovi-lim-mqquc

Makana360. (2024). Presidential election analysis report. Makana360. Retrieved from https://www.makana360.com/en/presidential-election-analysis-report/

Minnesota Reformer. (2024, November 13). Trump picks Minnesotan Fox News host to run Pentagon, Tulsi Gabbard to head national intelligence. Minnesota Reformer. Retrieved from https://minnesotareformer.com/2024/11/13/dc/trump-picks-minnesotan-fox-news-host-to-run-pentagon-tulsi-gabbard-to-head-national-intelligence/

Mitchell, T., & Mitchell, T. (2024). How America changed during Donald Trump’s presidency. Pew Research Center. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/01/29/how-america-changed-during-donald-trumps-presidency/

Rinaldi, O., & Rosen, J. (2024). Donald Trump Wins election in Historic Comeback After 2020 loss, Indictments and Bruising Campaign. CBS News. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-win-presidency-2024/

The CMHS. (2024). Why Vote for Trump?. The CMHS. Retrieved from https://www.thecmhs.com/donald10/why-vote-for-trump.html

The Nation. (2024). 2024 Election Lessons and Analysis for Democrats. The Nation. Retrieved from https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/2024-election-lessons-analysis-democrats/






Thursday, October 31, 2024

Duterte’s War on Drugs: Safety, Sacrifice, and a Divided Legacy

President Rodrigo R. Duterte's government is most notable for his aggressive war on drugs. Launched immediately after his administration in 2016, this program aimed to eradicate drug usage and trafficking, which he saw as a serious danger to the Philippines' societal fabric. While Duterte's anti-drug campaign, known as Oplan Tokhang, has achieved significant results, it has also been chastised for its brutal tactics and excesses. 

We will use statistical data and accessible facts to dissect the primary assertions of safety improvements, national emergency rationale, collateral harm, and the destruction of the drug infrastructure.

1. The Philippines is Safer Because of Duterte's Drug War.


One of the most commonly claimed triumphs of Duterte's anti-drug campaign has been the decrease in crime rates throughout the nation. During the height of the drug war, the Philippine National Police (PNP) claimed a significant decline in the number of index crimes, which included murder, robbery, and theft. 

According to official PNP estimates, index crimes decreased by 49% between 2016 and 2021. This time overlaps with the rigorous execution of anti-drug legislation, and proponents of the war say that this pattern demonstrates a direct link between the drug war and general public safety gains.

Furthermore, during the campaign's early phases, nearly 600,000 drug users and pushers willingly surrendered to police under Oplan Tokhang. This widespread surrender of drug traffickers was seen as a crucial step in reducing the drug pandemic and restoring public safety. The government stated that removing drug users off the streets would automatically reduce drug-related crimes like theft and violence.


However, these numbers should be investigated. Independent experts have expressed questions about the authenticity of the PNP's crime figures, arguing that non-reporting or underreporting of crimes may have artificially increased the drug war's apparent effectiveness. 

Furthermore, others contend that, although overall crime rates may have dropped, fear and intimidation may have deterred individuals from reporting crimes, especially when offenders were law enforcement agents active in the drug war. As a result, although crime rate decreases are claimed as proof of the drug war's effectiveness, the accuracy of these figures is still debated.

2. Duterte's Drug War was a Response to a De Facto National Emergency.

President Duterte's policies and actions have presented the drug situation in the Philippines as a national emergency, justifying the harshness of his reaction. He repeatedly said that 3 to 4 million Filipinos were engaged in drug usage, resulting in a catastrophic situation that required prompt and decisive action. 

While these statistics were extensively reported, surveys done by the Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB) revealed a lesser but still substantial total of 1.8 million drug users. Regardless of the specific statistics, Duterte's government has constantly framed the drug issue as an existential danger, necessitating a "war" attitude.

Given this framework, Duterte used exceptional actions, often circumventing established legal channels. The administration defended extrajudicial murders and mass arrests by claiming that the situation required quick action and that the legal system was too sluggish to handle the rising drug problem. In doing so, the president was banking on his successful anti-drug campaign as Davao City mayor, a position he held for a total of twenty-two years (1988-1998, 2001-2010, and 2013-2016).

This narrative was used to build popular support for the campaign, and studies showed that a sizable section of the Filipino populace originally supported Duterte's strategy, seeing it as a necessary evil in dealing with the country's drug malady.

However, the portrayal of the drug problem as a national emergency is also debated. Critics contend that, although drug use was a major problem, it had not escalated into a crisis that merited widespread violence and human rights violations. 

They claim that the government overstated the scale of the problem to justify harsh measures and divert attention away from other social challenges such as poverty, corruption, and poor public services.


3. The Drug War's Excesses: Mistakes and Unnecessary Killings

Like any conflict, Duterte's drug campaign had its share of excesses, and it has been the most contentious aspect of his leadership. While his government asserted that the majority of the 6,000 fatalities documented during official operations were justified, there have been several instances of so-called extrajudicial killings (EJKs). 

Human rights groups like Amnesty International (AI) and Human Rights Watch (HRW) believe that the true death toll is between 12,000 and 30,000, with many of the deaths taking place outside of official police operations. Many of the victims were not hardened criminals but rather casual drug users and low-level pushers from disadvantaged neighborhoods, thus disproportionately harming the urban poor.

Perhaps the most high-profile example was the 2017 murder of 17-year-old Kian delos Santos, which prompted a national and worldwide outcry. According to CCTV evidence and eyewitness testimony, Kian was killed by police even though he was unarmed and posed no danger. 

Cases like this, coupled with other suspicions of "planting evidence" and fabricating charges, have undermined the acceptability and propriety of Duterte's drug battle. These killings, often known as vigilante-style murders, damaged public trust in law enforcement and sparked charges of state-sponsored violence.

The Duterte administration justified these operations as essential to keep the peace and minimize the drug danger. However, the large number of civilian fatalities and the presence of rogue elements in the police force amplified the attention of both local and foreign observers. 

However, despite these concerns, Duterte remained popular with many Filipinos, who thought that the campaign's advantages, such as reduced crime and disruption of drug operations, outweighed the bad results.

4. Dismantling the Drug Infrastructure

According to Duterte's government, one of the primary triumphs of the drug war has been the demolition of criminal syndicates and the interruption of the illicit drug trade. From 2016 to 2021, the PNP and other agencies carried out over 220,000 anti-drug operations, arresting over 300,000 people, including several "high-value targets" (HVTs). 

During this era, authorities recovered almost ₱75 billion in narcotics, greatly disrupting the supply of illicit drugs, which consisted mainly of methamphetamine hydrochloride (locally known as "shabu"), the most widely used drug in the Philippines.


Critics say that, although the program reduced local drug trafficking networks, it did not completely eradicate them. Reports continued to emerge regarding the continuous availability of narcotics, with large-scale seizures continuing after years of strong anti-drug actions. 

Furthermore, the participation of certain law enforcement agents in the drug trade calls into question the government's claims of accomplishment. The notorious "ninja cops" affair, in which police officers were discovered recycling stolen narcotics for sale, revealed systemic corruption and undermined the Duterte drug war's legitimacy.

Where This Analysis Hits a Snag

The statistics cited to back up Duterte's claims of success in the drug war are mostly from official sources, such as the Philippine National Police (PNP) and the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency (PDEA). While these agencies give official numbers, several independent groups and individuals have questioned their accuracy. 

Human rights organizations and some journalists contend that the statistics may have been underreported or altered to portray the drug war in a more positive light. 

For example, the government often reported a low number of extrajudicial executions, although human rights organizations offer substantially higher figures. Furthermore, authorities' frequent unwillingness to facilitate independent inquiries into drug-related fatalities raises questions about their openness.

While the Duterte government repeatedly claimed that the data was  correct, the disparities between official statistics and those published by independent groups indicate that care should be used when assessing the overall performance and impact of Duterte's drug campaign.

Conclusion


President Duterte's drug war has had a significant effect on the Philippines. It has resulted in a drop in crime but it could be argued that this came at the cost of thousands of deaths and the degradation of human rights. 

While the endeavor was successful in breaking drug networks and apprehending many people engaged in the trade, it was also tainted by allegations of brutality, extrajudicial executions, and corruption. 

Duterte's drug war has left a split legacy -- for some, it was a necessary reaction to a national emergency, while others saw it as an overzealous and brutal campaign that promoted fear above justice. 


Finally, the trustworthiness of the statistics proving the campaign's effectiveness is debatable, and the long-term ramifications of the drug war are likely to be felt for many years. 
But one thing is sure, and that is the Philippines is that much safer because of Rodrigo Duterte's war on drugs, and to many Filipinos, that is all that matters. 

Sources

Amnesty International. (2017). "If you are poor, you are killed": Extrajudicial executions in the Philippines' "war on drugs". Retrieved from https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/asa35/5517/2017/en/

Chin, C. (2021). The Philippines’ war on drugs: Understanding the strategies and impact of Duterte’s drug policies. Journal of Drug Policy Analysis, 34(1), 21-33. https://doi.org/10.1093/jdp/jpab123

Human Rights Watch. (2017). "License to kill": Philippine police killings in Duterte's "war on drugs". Retrieved from https://www.hrw.org/report/2017/03/02/license-kill/philippine-police-killings-dutertes-war-drugs

International Criminal Court. (2021). Report on preliminary examination activities: Philippines (2016-2021). Retrieved from https://www.icc-cpi.int/itemsDocuments/2021-PE-Philippines.pdf

Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency (PDEA). (2020). Anti-drug operations annual report. Retrieved from https://pdea.gov.ph/our-accomplishments

Philippine National Police (PNP). (2021). PNP year-end review: Crime statistics and anti-drug operations. Retrieved from https://www.pnp.gov.ph/index.php/crime-statistics

Rappler. (2020, July 2). Duterte’s drug war: 4 years of killings in numbers. Retrieved from https://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/in-depth/duterte-war-drugs-4-years-numbers

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). (2019). Global report on drug trends in Southeast Asia: The Philippines. Retrieved from https://www.unodc.org/documents/southeastasiaandpacific/2019/Philippines-drug-report.pdf




Thursday, October 24, 2024

Japan's Economic Decline: Overcoming Demographic Shifts, Technological Lag, and Cultural Hurdles

Once hailed as an economic powerhouse, Japan faces a complex decline driven by demographic issues and a reluctance to embrace necessary changes. This gradual shift has become a significant challenge for the country. Japan’s stagnating economy is a stark contrast to the post-World War II era when the country experienced an economic miracle. However, the very structures that once fueled its growth have now become obstacles to innovation and adaptability.

In its most recent assessment of Japan’s economy, the IMF projects that 2020 economic growth will remain resilient at 0.7 percent. Women’s labor force participation has increased significantly in recent years, but in the coming years, the shrinking and aging of the population will mean fewer and older workers—depressing both growth and productivity. A recent IMF staff paper estimates that Japan’s economic growth will decline by 0.8 percentage points on average each year over the next 40 years due to demographics alone.

Background of Japan's Economic Decline

The rise of Japan as an economic superpower is deeply rooted in its recovery after World War II. The country adopted an export-oriented growth model with strong government intervention. This helped it achieve impressive growth rates during the 60s and 70s. 

During this period, large conglomerates, known as the keiretsu, played a pivotal role in fostering cooperation among companies and driving innovation in manufacturing. However, starting in the 90s, Japan struggled to keep pace as the global economy transitioned to a more technology-driven landscape. Today, only one Japanese company ranks among the world's top 50, reflecting how far the nation has fallen from its economic heights.

Irrelevant Keiretsu System

Japan's reliance on the keiretsu system, while initially beneficial, became a liability in the face of rapid global changes. The system, built on close ties between banks and corporations, created a rigid structure that hindered flexibility and innovation. 

Japan was slow to adapt to emerging technologies, particularly in the digital and software industries. This lack of agility is evident when compared to nations like the United States and China, which excelled in both sectors.


The fact that the Japanese economy is stagnant reveals a number of structural and demographic difficulties that have impeded its growth. One of the key challenges is Japan's aging population, which has resulted in a decreasing workforce, lower productivity, and a stagnant economy. 

An Aging Population, Restrictive and Shrinking Labor Market, and Resistance to Change

This demographic evolution also puts pressure on social security systems, which has strained governmental resources even further. 

Another problem is that Japan's labor market remains restrictive, with few possibilities for women and older workers to fully engage and little progress in the adoption of productivity-boosting technology.

Another structural issue is Japan's reluctance to embrace changes that could modernize its economy, including the deregulation of critical sectors and an increase in innovation. The Japanese business community, characterized by its risk-averse culture and hierarchical decision-making, has been slow to respond to global trends, especially in terms of digital transformation. 

Inefficient Healthcare System

Furthermore, industries such as services, healthcare, and agriculture continue to be relatively inefficient as compared to their global counterparts, pulling down the economy. Without major reforms, Japan would remain stagnant, with limited short-term development possibilities.

Japan's postwar baby boom was brief—approximately three years, compared to other G7 nations (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States), where similar periods ranged from nine to twenty years. This means that compared to the latter, Japan's demographic structure will change substantially in only a few years, especially when baby boomers reach retirement age and become eligible for public pension and healthcare benefits.

Japan tops the world in terms of life expectancy, topping all G20 (world's largest economies) countries as early as 1978. Extended life expectancy, along with low fertility, has hastened the demographic transition in Japan, resulting in a constant rise in the old-age dependency ratio (the number of retired persons compared to the working-age population).

Moreover, immigration flows are insufficient to have a significant influence on Japan's aging and decreasing population. Japan stands apart from the other G7 countries in terms of its reliance on foreign labor. Foreign workers made up just approximately 2.2% of Japan's overall labor force in 2018, compared to an estimated 17.4% in the United States, 17% in the United Kingdom, and 12% in Germany.

The Digital Deficit and Demographic Crisis

One of the key factors contributing to Japan’s decline was its failure to transition effectively into the digital age. As the global economy increasingly favored technology and software innovation, Japan was left behind. The country, known for its excellence in hardware and manufacturing, did not capitalize on the rise of software, artificial intelligence, and other digital industries. This technological stagnation diminished its competitive edge, placing it behind more dynamic economies.

In the 1980s, Japan had a thriving consumer electronics sector that served as the foundation of its successful export business. However, new digital technologies quickly replaced the analog devices on which Japan had a near monopoly, and both the private sector and the government failed to adapt.

Demographic Crisis Exacerbates Japan's Economic Problems

Japan's demographic crisis exacerbates its economic problems. With one of the lowest birth rates in the world and a rapidly aging population, Japan's workforce is shrinking. This has profound implications for the economy, as a declining working-age population means reduced productivity and economic growth. 

Adult diapers now outsell baby diapers in Japan, demonstrating the harsh truth of this generational change. Without a younger generation to replace seniors and keep the workforce active, Japan's economic stagnation is likely to persist.


In fact, the proportion of aged individuals in the working population in Japan is already one of the highest in the world, while the fertility rate is one of the lowest, meaning that the population's age distribution will move significantly over the next several decades. By 2025, there will be about one elderly person for every two people of working age, giving Japan the highest old-age dependence ratio of any major industrial nation.

The Need for Cultural and Structural Adjustment


To improve its economic fortunes, Japan must address not only its demographic challenges but also its cultural resistance to change. Japan’s traditional values have long emphasized quality, craftsmanship, and perseverance, which helped the country rise to prominence. 

However, these same values now hinder its ability to adapt to the fast-paced, ever-changing global economy. The reluctance to embrace new ideas and cultural shifts has left Japan behind in sectors where innovation and flexibility are crucial.

Government intervention, once a critical factor in Japan’s economic success, now needs to evolve. The same policies that spurred post-war recovery are no longer effective in today’s digital and service-oriented world. 

For Japan to regain its footing, it must adopt a more forward-looking approach, encouraging entrepreneurship, fostering innovation, and creating an environment where new industries can thrive.

Conclusion

This essay has highlighted the complexity of Japan's economic challenges, pointing out three core areas that need addressing: demographics, technology, and cultural resistance. Japan’s aging and shrinking population is a central factor in its economic stagnation, as fewer workers mean lower productivity and higher social security burdens. 

This demographic challenge creates a pressing need for reforms that could expand the workforce, such as policies to encourage greater participation by women and older individuals, as well as more robust immigration policies.

Technological stagnation is another significant hurdle, as Japan has been slow to adopt new technologies and innovations compared to other advanced economies. In addition to this, the deeply ingrained cultural resistance to change, especially in its corporate structures, prevents the country from fully embracing the digital and technological advancements needed to stay competitive in the global economy. 

For Japan to reinvigorate its economy, it must overcome this cultural resistance, modernize its labor markets, and foster a more innovation-friendly environment. Embracing new ideas and policies that reflect the demands of the digital age is crucial if Japan is to escape its current economic stagnation.

Japan’s economic decline is a multi-faceted issue rooted in demographic challenges, technological stagnation, and cultural resistance to change. While the country’s post-war recovery remains an impressive feat, the same systems and structures that once propelled it forward are now holding it back.

References

Daiwa Institute of Research. (2023, December 6). Japan’s economy: Monthly outlook (Nov 2023). https://www.dir.co.jp/english/research/report/jmonthly/20231206_024127.html

Deloitte. (2023). Japan economic outlook. https://www2.deloitte.com

Goldman Sachs Asset Management. (2023). Japan's economic revival and the road ahead. https://am.gs.com

Katz, R. (2015). Japan: The system that soured—The rise and fall of the Japanese economic miracle. Routledge.

Kingston, J. (2017). Contemporary Japan: History, politics, and social change since the 1980s. John Wiley & Sons.

Lincoln, E. J. (2020). Japan’s economic dilemma: The institutional origins of prosperity and stagnation. Brookings Institution Press.

OECD. (2023). OECD economic outlook, volume 2023 issue 1: Japan. OECD iLibrary. https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org

OECD. (2024). OECD economic surveys: Japan 2024. https://www.oecd.org

Patrick, H. T., & Pempel, T. J. (Eds.). (2019). The political economy of Japan: Volume 1—The domestic transformation. Stanford University Press.

Vogel, S. K. (2018). Marketcraft: How governments make markets work. Oxford University Press. 


Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Navigating the Digital Shift: Transforming Philippine Higher Education for a Future-Ready Generation

The landscape of higher education in the Philippines is transforming, driven by the rapid adoption of online learning. This evolution, accelerated by the recent global pandemic, presents challenges and opportunities for Philippine universities as they strive to meet the nation's educational needs in an increasingly digital world. 

This essay explores the rise of online learning in the Philippines, the potential of Philippine universities, the role of digital transformation, and the critical importance of access, equity, and excellence in shaping the future of higher education in the country.


The Rise of Online Learning in the Philippines

The surge in online learning in the Philippines has marked a significant shift in how education is delivered and received. In response to the global pandemic, universities across the nation swiftly adopted digital platforms to continue delivering lectures, conducting assessments, and facilitating collaborative projects. 

This transition has democratized learning, offering students the flexibility to manage their schedules and reducing geographical barriers that previously limited access to quality education. However, this shift has also highlighted the persistent digital divide in the country. While online learning offers new opportunities, it also necessitates comprehensive efforts to ensure that all students have reliable internet access and the necessary technological resources to fully participate in this new educational model.


Unlocking the Potential of Philippine Universities

To fully realize the potential of Philippine universities, it is essential to foster a culture of research, innovation, and collaboration. This involves enhancing faculty development programs, investing in state-of-the-art facilities, and encouraging robust industry partnerships. 

By focusing on these areas, universities can propel academic excellence, contribute significantly to national development, and position themselves as leaders in the global education landscape. Emphasizing these elements will enable Philippine universities to not only compete internationally but also better serve the educational and developmental needs of the nation.

Digital Transformation in Philippine Universities

Digital transformation is revolutionizing the delivery of education in Philippine universities. The adoption of Learning Management Systems (LMS) that help plan, implement, and assess learning processes, and the integration of artificial intelligence in administrative tasks are examples of how technology is enhancing efficiency and student engagement in Philippine higher education. This shift is not only modernizing educational practices but also preparing students for a tech-driven future. 

By equipping students with the skills needed in the digital age, universities are ensuring that graduates are ready to meet the demands of the modern workforce. As universities continue to embrace these innovations, they are setting the stage for a more dynamic and responsive educational environment that can adapt to the evolving demands of the modern world.


Access, Equity, and Excellence: The Philippine Higher Education Agenda

The agenda for Philippine higher education should be firmly rooted in the principles of access, equity, and excellence. Achieving access and equity involves ensuring that all students, regardless of socio-economic background, can access quality education is paramount. Initiatives such as scholarships, participative policies, and community outreach programs are vital in attaining this goal. 

Effecting excellence, on the other hand, necessitates the observance of rigorous standards, continuous improvement, meeting international accreditation standards, and fostering a competitive and all-involving educational environment. This focus on access, equity, and excellence is critical to building a higher education system that is both fair and forward-looking.

The Crisis in Philippine Higher Education's New Reality

Despite the progress made, the new reality for Philippine higher education is marked by several challenges. This includes budget constraints, the digital divide, and concerns over quality assurance. As things now stand, universities are already grappling with the obstacle of maintaining academic standards amidst financial pressures, while ensuring that students from remote areas have adequate access to online resources. 

Addressing these issues requires innovative solutions, increased government support, and collaborative efforts across the educational ecosystem. By tackling these challenges head-on, Philippine higher education can navigate this crisis and emerge stronger and more resilient.

Opportunities in Philippine Higher Education

Amidst these challenges, there are numerous opportunities for growth and development in Philippine higher education. Areas such as international partnerships, technology integration, and cultivating a research culture offer considerable potential: 

        a) establishing partnerships with global institutions can enhance academic        standards and provide students with valuable international exposure; 

        b) technology integration can enhance education by improving access, enriching learning experiences, streamlining administration, fostering global collaboration, and supporting teacher development; and 

        c) cultivating a research culture can foster innovation, enhance educational quality, and attract international collaboration, positioning Philippine higher education institutions as academic centers that drive socio-economic progress.

The Role of the Government, Parents, and Private Tutors

The government plays a crucial role in shaping Philippine higher education through policy formulation, funding, and quality assurance. Initiatives like the K-12 program and free tuition in state universities demonstrate the government’s commitment to education reform. 

Moreover, ensuring adequate funding, promoting STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) education, and fostering international collaborations are areas where government participation is crucial. To this end, the government should conduct and encourage continuous assessment and policy adjustments necessary to meet the evolving higher educational needs of the country.


Parents and private tutors play vital roles in shaping the environment of Philippine higher education. Parents influence their children's academic journeys by advocating for quality education, fostering a culture of continuous learning, and actively participating in school-related activities. Their encouragement of critical thinking, along with the support of private tutors, further enhances students' intellectual growth. Together, they contribute to the development of well-rounded individuals by promoting engagement in both academic and extracurricular pursuits

Parents and private tutors can provide personalized instruction tailored to meet individual learning needs. They can reinforce important classroom concepts, such as differentiated instruction, inquiry-based learning, and experiential learning. They can also help students develop effective study habits. Their support is crucial in ensuring that students receive the guidance they need to succeed academically.

Conclusion


The above trends shaping Philippine higher education highlight the sector’s dynamic evolution in response to global and local challenges. Embracing digital transformation, promoting access and equity, and fostering innovation are critical for future success. 

Collaborative efforts from the government, educational institutions, parents, and private tutors are essential in creating a participative, high-quality education system that primes students for the complexities and vicissitudes of the modern world.

 As the Philippines continues to traverse these changes, the focus must remain on building a robust and just educational framework that meets the needs of all learners, ensuring that the country’s higher education system remains competitive on a global scale.

References

Arinto, P. B. (2016). Issues and challenges in open and distance e-learning: Perspectives from the Philippines. International Review of Research in Open and Distributed Learning, 17(2), 162-180. https://doi.org/10.19173/irrodl.v17i2.1913

Bautista, G., & Duka, C. T. (2018). Higher education in the Philippines and the challenges posed by the 4th Industrial Revolution. Education & Science Journal, 3(1), 8-15.

Commission on Higher Education (CHED). (2020). Guidelines on the implementation of flexible learning. CHED Memorandum Order No. 04, Series of 2020.

Dela Peña-Bandalaria, M. (2021). The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on higher education in the Philippines. Asian Journal of Distance Education, 16(1), 1-6.

Salamat, L., Ahmad, G., Bakht, I., & Saifi, I. (2018). Effects of e-learning on students' academic learning at university level. Asian Innovative Journal of Social Sciences & Humanities, 2(1), 1-12.

Santos, R. G., & Mendoza, J. D. (2019). Digital transformation in Philippine universities: Enhancing learning through innovation. Journal of Education and Technology, 5(3), 45-55.

UNESCO. (2021). The impact of digital transformation on higher education in Southeast Asia. UNESCO Institute for Information Technologies in Education.

Yap, J. B. (2020). Addressing the digital divide in the Philippines: The role of government, private sector, and civil society. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 37(3), 269-292. https://doi.org/10.1355/ae37-3f


Monday, September 2, 2024

A Forgetful Nation: The Perpetual Dance of Typhoon Enteng and the Filipino Spirit

In the wake of Typhoon Enteng, three cheers for Filipino ingenuity! Yet, let’s also raise a glass to our forgetfulness. Oh, the rain falls and with it, the floods come—a cycle as predictable as the seasons. But with every deluge, we witness the same spectacle: the stubborn refusal to leave homes threatened by the rising waters, the bravery of volunteers, the politicians who seize the moment to showcase their concern, and the nation of Filipinos who, despite it all, greet the aftermath with renewed hope. And so, with a cheer, we say, “Hooray for Filipino courage! Let us celebrate the enduring spirit of Bayanihan that lives in our hearts.”

But, my friends, let us pause for a moment. For isn’t this celebration tinged with a kind of madness? A madness that recurs, year after year, with the monsoon’s return. A madness that, like a beloved telenovela, plays out in an endless loop: the rain, the flood, the resilience, the hope—and the inevitable forgetfulness that follows.


The rains are a reminder, a harbinger of that same cycle that we know so well. Each year, we sing the same song, we dance the same dance. The “flood” problem, so ingrained in our national psyche, has become the perennial drama in which we Filipinos are both the actors and the audience. We watch ourselves on the stage, admiring our strength, our resourcefulness, our ability to endure. But the curtain never falls, and the plot never thickens. We are trapped in the act of coping, as if coping alone were the grand finale.

Let us not mistake coping for triumph. Indeed, there is something admirable in our ability to smile through the storm, to find joy in the darkest of days. But is it not also a kind of surrender? A resignation to the same, unchanging fate? We have become too skilled at survival, so much so that we have forgotten how to aspire for something more—something beyond merely getting by.

In this land, where the typhoon is as much a part of life as the sun, have we not grown complacent? Have we not mistaken endurance for excellence, resilience for success? We look at the smiling faces of those who have weathered the storm and say, “There, that is the Filipino spirit!” And indeed, it is. But we forget that the Filipino spirit is capable of more than just enduring. It is capable of transforming, of overcoming not just the storm, but the conditions that make the storm so devastating.


And so, we return to our telenovela. The floodwaters rise, the actors take their places, and the familiar scenes unfold. But at some point, surely, we must grow tired of this unending drama. Surely, we must ask ourselves: is there not more to life than this? Are we not weary of the perpetual floods, the politicians who masquerade as saviors, the annual toll of lives lost?

Coping is a necessary first step, but it is not the destination. We must learn to move beyond coping, to reject the mediocrity that comes with simply surviving. We must demand more of ourselves, and of those who lead us. We must remember that we are not just characters in a play, but the authors of our own fate.

And so, as we suffer once again yet another flood, with the winds of Typhoon Enteng howling through our streets and the waters rising around us, we find ourselves not merely amid a natural disaster, but in the heart of a cultural one—a cycle of coping and forgetting as old as the rains themselves. For this is our story, year after year, storm after storm.


Let the rains fall again, but let us not just cheer for the Filipino spirit, for this is old hat. This time, let us also remember, even at the risk of being Kabisote. Let us remember that we have the power to change the script, to write a new story—one where we do more than cope. One where we conquer.

Saturday, August 31, 2024

Bullying the World: How China's Aggressive Tactics in the South China Sea Are Fueling Global Resentment

Introduction

In the past few decades, China's ambitions in the South China Sea (SCS) have grown increasingly evident, marked by a relentless pursuit of territorial expansion. Through the construction of artificial islands, the buildup of the world's largest naval fleet, and the strategic deployment of paramilitary maritime forces, China has asserted claims over vast areas of the SCS. 

These actions have not only hindered neighboring nations' access to their exclusive economic zones (EEZ) but have also stirred a broader sense of unease and resentment globally. With the recent release of a 10-dash line "standard map" aimed at tightening its territorial claims, China seems to be doubling down on its coercive tactics. However, these aggressive maneuvers may be driving a wedge between China and the rest of the world, as more nations begin to view Beijing not just as a regional hegemon, but as a global bully.


China’s Coercive Tactics: A Recipe for Global Resentment 

China's approach to asserting dominance in the SCS has been characterized by a myriad of coercive tactics that often blur the line between diplomacy and aggression. Employing what has been termed 'grey zone' tactics—actions that fall short of outright warfare but are aggressive enough to intimidate and harass—China aims to secure its regional hegemony. This strategy, embodied in the Chinese proverb ‘Kill the chicken to scare the monkey,’ serves as a stark warning not only to the directly affected nations but to the entire region. The message is clear: challenging China's claims could lead to severe consequences.

These tactics are not confined to the SCS. Countries far beyond the immediate region, including the United States, Japan, and even Canada, have found themselves on the receiving end of China's assertive maneuvers. Risky encounters between Chinese forces and those of other nations are becoming increasingly common, leading to heightened tensions and a growing sense of unease about China's intentions. China's aggressive stance is causing many nations to reassess their foreign policies, pushing them closer together in opposition to Beijing’s expansionist agenda.

Regional Coalition

Kelly Grieco, a Senior Fellow with the Reimagining US Grand Strategy Program, suggests that the prospects for building a regional coalition to counter Chinese aggression are significantly higher in the SCS than in the Taiwan Strait. This is because the countries involved see China's infringements on sovereignty in the SCS as directly linked to their national security interests. The increase in activity around Taiwan is viewed by many as a precursor to how China might escalate its coercive tactics in other regions, leaving nations to search for ways to rebalance their standing against what is increasingly perceived as a regional—and potentially global—bully.

The Global Impact of China’s Bullying Behavior

The territorial disputes in the SCS are not new, but China's increasingly aggressive tactics have elevated these conflicts to new heights. China’s coast guard has harassed, chased away, blocked, and occasionally attacked Vietnamese and Philippine fishermen within their EEZs. These actions, often executed by unmarked civilian vessels of China's maritime militia, are frequently backed by the China Coast Guard, which claims to be enforcing Chinese law and territory. This pattern of behavior is not isolated to the SCS; similar tactics are being employed against nations and entities worldwide that are perceived to threaten China's expanding influence.


The implications of China’s aggressive behavior extend far beyond the immediate region. Nations that might have once been ambivalent about China’s rise are now increasingly wary, viewing Beijing's actions as a threat not just to regional stability, but to global order. 

China's Disregard for International Norms

The growing list of countries that have experienced confrontations with China—whether in the SCS, the East China Sea, or elsewhere—reflects a broader trend of international resentment towards Beijing's tactics. The cumulative effect of these encounters is that China is increasingly seen not as a responsible global power, but as a nation willing to disregard international norms to achieve its strategic goals.

This shift in perception is significant. As more countries begin to view China’s actions as a direct challenge to their sovereignty and security, there is a growing consensus that something must be done to counter Beijing’s ambitions. This sentiment is not limited to the governments of the affected nations; it is also reflected in global public opinion, with increasing numbers of people around the world viewing China as a hostile power. This growing enmity could have far-reaching consequences for China’s global standing, potentially isolating it on the world stage and undermining its long-term strategic objectives.

The Role of the United States and Other Maritime Nations 

In response to China's aggressive tactics, the United States and other maritime nations have stepped up their efforts to support the SCS nations and counter Beijing's influence. The U.S., in particular, has played a pivotal role in coordinating regional and international responses to China’s actions. US Secretary of the Navy Carlos Del Toro has highlighted the importance of naval diplomacy in strengthening the network of security alliances and partnerships that the U.S. has cultivated over decades. This approach, often referred to as integrated deterrence, involves a combination of military presence, strategic partnerships, and diplomatic engagement to counter China's influence in the SCS.

Southeast Asian nations have also received significant support from other maritime powers, including Australia and Japan, who have invested in cooperative engagements and security initiatives across the region. 

Rotation of Maritime Patrols by Like-Minded Nations

As countries like the Philippines and Vietnam increase their joint patrols in the SCS, there is a growing opportunity for the U.S. to enhance these efforts by coordinating a continual rotation of ships to patrol alongside like-minded nations. This U.S.-led initiative would not only provide additional maritime capabilities but also serve as a clear signal to China that its aggressive tactics will not go unchallenged.

The U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) has also played a critical role in building the capacity of Southeast Asian maritime security forces. By rotating the deployment of cutters and sharing best practices in maritime security with countries like the Philippines, Japan, Indonesia, Singapore, South Korea, and Australia, the USCG is helping to strengthen the region’s ability to assert its sovereignty. This sustained engagement has the potential to enhance the organic capabilities of these nations, allowing them to better resist China’s coercive tactics.

However, the U.S. Navy (USN) faces challenges in adapting to the evolving security environment in the SCS. While the USN is the world’s premier “blue water” navy, the SCS nations are seeking “green water” maritime support to address the unique challenges posed by China's grey zone tactics. To better support these nations, the USN must consider how its independent deployers can receive dedicated “green water” maritime security training. Additionally, the USCG could establish a detachment in the Pacific theater, rotating crews to USN ships to enhance maritime law enforcement operations and provide specialized training to Southeast Asian partners.

China’s Global Image Problem


 
As China continues to assert its claims in the SCS and beyond, it risks alienating more and more countries. The release of Beijing’s new 10-dash line map has drawn widespread condemnation from the international community, exacerbating tensions in the region and beyond. Southeast Asian nations, supported by international allies, are increasingly standing up to China’s coercive tactics, creating significant pressure on Beijing to reconsider its approach.

The global backlash against China’s actions is not just a matter of diplomatic friction; it reflects a broader concern about the kind of global power China intends to be. Countries around the world are asking whether China will respect international norms and the sovereignty of other nations, or whether it will continue to pursue its goals through bullying and intimidation. The answer to this question will have profound implications for China’s future role on the world stage.

Conclusion

China’s aggressive tactics in the SCS are not just about territorial disputes; they are part of a broader strategy that is increasingly being viewed with suspicion and hostility by the international community. As more countries experience the brunt of China’s coercive behavior, there is a growing consensus that Beijing is earning the world’s enmity. This global backlash could have significant implications for China’s strategic ambitions, potentially isolating it from the very international system it seeks to dominate. If China continues on its current path, it may find that its quest for regional hegemony has come at the cost of global friendship and cooperation.

Sources:

Aguilar, M. (2024, August 28). U.S. taking a twofold stand vs. China’s bullying in South China Sea: Coast guard admiral. Philippine Star. https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2024/08/28/2381211/us-taking-twofold-stand-vs-chinas-bullying-south-china-sea-coast-guard-admiral

Blinken, A. J. (2021, July 11). Overwhelmed by Chinese fleets Filipino fishermen ‘protest and adapt’. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/11/world/asia/philippines-south-china-sea-fishermen.html

Grieco, K. (2023, November 17). Philippines military accuses China of bullying and vows to continue South China Sea missions. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/17/philippines-military-accuses-china-of-bullying-and-vows-to-continue-south-china-sea-missions

Nobody likes a bully: China’s grip over the South China Sea is slipping. (2023, November 15). 9DashLine. https://www.9dashline.com/article/nobody-likes-a-bully-chinas-grip-over-the-south-china-sea-is-slipping

Sugimoto, A. (2024, August 28). China keeps testing the limits of its aggression. Time. https://time.com/6302515/china-philippines-south-china-sea-aggression/




Sunday, August 25, 2024

A Journey Through Vietnam: Unforgettable Moments in Ho Chi Minh City

We Visit Our Son Nik and His 

Our trip to Ho Chi Minh City was an exciting and memorable experience. We stayed with our son Nik and his wife Boots at Vinhomes Grand Park. Nik works for FPT, the largest IT company in Vietnam. Vinhomes Grand Park is beautiful, filled with modern condos, green parks, well-maintained gardens, and lovely ponds full of koi fish. Staying there felt like stepping into a peaceful oasis amidst the hustle and bustle of city life. 

The tranquility of the surroundings allowed us to unwind and truly immerse ourselves in the experience of visiting a new country. The blend of modernity and nature in Vinhomes Grand Park perfectly represents the balance Vietnam strives for—honoring the past while embracing the future.

A Birthday Dinner at The Deck Saigon

On Nik’s birthday, August 8, 2024, he and Boots took us to dinner at The Deck Saigon, a cozy and charming restaurant with an Asian fusion and vegetarian-friendly menu. The restaurant is located right by the Saigon River, just a 15-minute Grab ride from downtown Ho Chi Minh City. The setting is romantic, and the food is exceptionally well-prepared.

The gentle breeze from the river, combined with the warm lighting and the sounds of the city in the distance, created an ambiance that was both intimate and lively. A highlight of the evening was meeting a Filipino waiter who had been living in Vietnam for six years, who added a personal touch to our dining experience. His stories of adapting to life in Vietnam resonated with us and highlighted the diverse expatriate community thriving in Ho Chi Minh City. 

The Deck Saigon is famous for its excellent service, delicious international menu, and its stunning riverside location. The best time to visit is around dusk, when the sunset paints the sky in beautiful colors. During happy hour, from 4:00 to 7:00 PM, guests can enjoy half-priced cocktails from a select menu. This made the evening even more special, as we toasted to Nik’s birthday while watching the city transform under the fading sunlight. The combination of good company, great food, and an unbeatable setting made this dinner one of the highlights of our trip.


Exploring the Independence Palace

The following day, we visited the Saigon Independence Palace, also known as the Reunification Palace. This iconic landmark offers a deep dive into Vietnam's history and culture, especially during the Vietnam War. The palace features luxuriously furnished rooms, a grand exterior, and beautiful gardens. Walking through the opulent rooms, it was easy to imagine the weight of the decisions made within these walls, decisions that shaped the course of Vietnam's history. Inside, we explored various rooms and exhibits that gave us a glimpse into the lives of Vietnam’s past leaders and their roles during the war. 

The attention to detail in preserving these spaces allowed us to feel a connection to the past, as if the history was not just something to be observed, but something to be felt. The palace is a significant historical site, symbolizing the political and military struggles of southern Vietnam, and it is a must-see for history enthusiasts. The visit made me reflect on the resilience of the Vietnamese people and the complexities of war, leaving me with a deep respect for the country's history.


A Visit to the War Remnants Museum

On our third day, we visited the War Remnants Museum, which provides a sobering and educational look at the Vietnam War from the Vietnamese perspective. The museum’s exhibits include artifacts, photographs, and personal accounts that depict the harsh realities of the war, including the devastating effects of chemical weapons like Agent Orange. The displays are powerful and thought-provoking, offering visitors a deep reflection on Vietnam's turbulent history. 

As we walked through the exhibits, the images and stories stirred a mix of emotions—sadness, anger, and a profound sense of empathy. The museum does not shy away from the horrors of war, and its candid portrayal of the impact on civilians made me realize the true cost of conflict. The experience was a stark reminder of the importance of peace and the need for understanding and reconciliation in the world. It was an intense visit, but one that I believe is essential for anyone who wants to understand Vietnam’s past and its journey to the present.


Saigon Central Post Office: A Blend of Cultures

After a day of rest at Vinhomes Grand Park, we explored the Saigon Central Post Office, a must-see attraction in Ho Chi Minh City. This magnificent building is a perfect blend of neo-classical European architecture and Asian decorations. Designed by Gustave Eiffel, the architect behind the Eiffel Tower, the post office is one of the most iconic symbols of the city. 

The building features a stunning facade, a large clock that has been running for over 130 years, and two large maps that depict Saigon and its surroundings in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. 

Standing in the post office, I couldn’t help but marvel at how such a grand and functional structure could also be so artistically designed. It’s a testament to the architectural visionaries of the time who sought to create buildings that were both practical and beautiful. 

The post office’s enduring beauty and historical significance make it a vital part of Ho Chi Minh City's colonial legacy. As I explored the building, I thought about the countless letters and telegrams that must have passed through its walls, each carrying a piece of someone’s life. The post office, to me, felt like a bridge between past and present, connecting the old world of communication with the modern city that has grown around it.


We Visited HCM City Book Street

We did not miss , of course, Ho Chi Minh City's Book Street, officially known as "Đường Sách Nguyễn Văn Bình." It is a charming pedestrian street dedicated to books and literature. Nestled in the heart of the city, near landmarks like the Notre-Dame Cathedral Basilica and the Central Post Office, it offers a tranquil escape from the bustling urban environment.

The atmosphere on the street is vibrant yet serene, a perfect blend of intellectual curiosity and leisurely exploration. The street is lined with towering trees that provide ample shade, creating a cool and comfortable environment even on warmer days. 

The street is often dotted with colorful banners, book-related art installations, and murals that celebrate literature and reading. It's a place where book lovers, families, students, and tourists alike can come together to explore, relax, and indulge in their love for books.

As you stroll through the street, you'll find an array of well-organized book stalls and small shops, each offering a different selection of books. Browsing through the collections is an immersive experience. Many of the stores are beautifully designed with wooden shelves and cozy reading corners, inviting you to take your time as you explore. You can find both new releases and timeless classics, ranging from Vietnamese literature to international bestsellers.


The street offers a diverse selection of books for sale. You'll find Vietnamese literature from both contemporary and classic authors, alongside translations of popular international novels and non-fiction works. There’s also a wide variety of children’s books, including picture books, fairy tales, and educational materials. 

For those interested in more specialized topics, the street features academic and non-fiction books on subjects like history, science, business, and self-help. Additionally, comics and graphic novels, both local and international, cater to fans of visual storytelling. Art lovers can also browse beautifully crafted coffee table books on photography, architecture, and Vietnamese art.

The street is more than just a place to buy books. It’s a cultural hub where various events and activities take place regularly. You might stumble upon a book signing, a literary talk, a poetry reading, or a children's storytelling session. These events add to the street’s lively and dynamic atmosphere.

Interspersed between the book stalls are quaint little cafes where you can grab a coffee or a light snack, which we did. These cafes are often designed to complement the literary atmosphere, with comfortable seating and quiet corners perfect for reading. It's not uncommon to see people lounging with a book in one hand and a cup of coffee in the other, completely absorbed in their reading.

Overall, HCM City's Book Street is a delightful experience for anyone who loves books and culture. The atmosphere is welcoming and relaxed, making it an ideal place to spend a few hours indulging in the simple pleasure of browsing through books and soaking in the literary ambiance.

Tasting Saigon’s Street Food: Bánh Mì

No visit to Vietnam is complete without trying the local street food. Saigon's street food scene is vibrant and everywhere you go, you’ll find delicious, affordable food served in informal settings. One of the most popular street foods is bánh mì, a short baguette filled with meat and savory ingredients like mayo, a smear of rich liver pate, pickled veggies, crunchy cucumbers, spicy chilies, and fresh herbs.

It is often served as a meal. The best bánh mì can only be found in Vietnam, where it originated. The first bite of an authentic bánh mì was quite a revelation—crisp on the outside, soft and flavorful on the inside, with a perfect balance of savory and fresh ingredients.

Bánh Xèo


Another excellent Vietnamese street meal we tried was bánh xèo, also known as Vietnamese pancakes. These delightful crispy rice flour crêpes have a delicate golden brown crust with a chewy interior, featuring a lace-like appearance due to the many holes created as the batter sizzles on the hot pan. 

The name "bánh xèo" is derived from the sizzling sound the batter makes when it hits the pan. The pancakes are filled with a delicious combination of pork, shrimp, mung beans, onions, and bean sprouts, though the filling can be customized with ingredients like chicken, mushrooms, or green beans. Served hot off the grill or pan, bánh xèo is traditionally eaten by hand, wrapped in fresh herbs like cilantro, mint, and mustard greens, along with lettuce or rice paper. 

This roll is then dipped in "nuoc cham", a sweet and sour fish sauce dipping sauce, creating a harmonious blend of flavors and textures. Bánh xèo can also be enjoyed with chopsticks, offering a versatile and interactive dining experience that captures the essence of Vietnamese street food.


Pho

An iconic dish is pho, a flavorful noodle soup that can be eaten any time of the day. Pho is made with a rich broth, flat rice noodles, and thinly sliced beef or chicken, and it’s served with fresh herbs and condiments. The combination of these ingredients creates a comforting and satisfying meal that is loved by many. 

Eating street food in Saigon was more than just a culinary experience; it was a cultural one. It’s about sitting on tiny stools on the sidewalk, surrounded by the sounds and smells of the city, and sharing a meal with locals. It’s an experience that brings you closer to the heart of the city, and it’s one that we will always remember fondly.


An Unforgettable Experience

Our visit to Vietnam was truly an unforgettable experience. From the rich history and culture, we explored at the Independence Palace and War Remnants Museum to the vibrant street food scene and the charm of Saigon Central Post Office, every moment was filled with discovery and delight. The warmth of the people, the beauty of the surroundings, and the depth of the history we encountered made our trip to Vietnam one we will always cherish. 

As Loida and I reflect on our journey, we realize that Vietnam is a country of contrasts—where tradition meets modernity, where the scars of the past coexist with the hopes for the future. It’s a place that has left a lasting impression on us, and we know that the memories we made there will stay with us for the rest of our lives.